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Thread: Is the non-mitigation of contrails a deliberate policy?

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    Senior Member SR1419's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by George B View Post
    1) I think it is a deliberate policy decision (a slow roll) to not mitigate the increase in the number, frequency, and persistence of trails and cirrus cloud banks . . .

    Other than your intuition, do you have any evidence to support your speculation?

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    Moderator George B's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SR1419 View Post
    Other than your intuition, do you have any evidence to support your speculation?
    If you mean have the policy makers said . . . we are trying to stall implementing persistent contrail mitigation to accomplish a particular goal . . . of course they have not . . . but if you look at the wealth of mitigation strategies over the years and the simple low cost methods to make aircrews aware of their contrail status . . . one is left with the question why has nothing practical been done . . . ?
    The only thing guaranteed in life is deception. . . everything else is optional . . . George B

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    Senior Member SR1419's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by George B View Post
    If you mean have the policy makers said . . . we are trying to stall implementing persistent contrail mitigation to accomplish a particular goal . . . of course they have not . . . but if you look at the wealth of mitigation strategies over the years and the simple low cost methods to make aircrews aware of their contrail status . . . one is left with the question why has nothing practical been done . . . ?
    So, the answer is NO...you have no evidence per se...just a feeling.

    Simply making aircrews "aware" of their contrails status isn't mitigation. Knowing that you are leaving contrail doesn't tell you how long it will persist nor is there anything you can necessarily do about it...It could be a deep pocket of saturated air such that altering your altitude slightly isn't enough...and descending to lower alt to avoid contrails costs more $$ in fuel.

    Nothing practical has been done because global coordination of any sort is extremely difficult:

    http://www.neurope.eu/blog/carbon-em...friendly-skies

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    Senior Member lee h oswald's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SR1419 View Post
    So, the answer is NO...you have no evidence per se...just a feeling.

    Simply making aircrews "aware" of their contrails status isn't mitigation. Knowing that you are leaving contrail doesn't tell you how long it will persist nor is there anything you can necessarily do about it...It could be a deep pocket of saturated air such that altering your altitude slightly isn't enough...and descending to lower alt to avoid contrails costs more $$ in fuel.

    Nothing practical has been done because global coordination of any sort is extremely difficult:

    http://www.neurope.eu/blog/carbon-em...friendly-skies
    I was hoping I wouldn't need to do this, but here it is. Some definitions for the word 'evidence': here's one, the number 1 spot in the Shorter Oxford English Dictionary (based on historical principles) - and it's not that short, let me tell you, it's on my lap and it weighs about 5 kilos, here's that meaning: evidence 1. The quality or condition of being evident. 2. Manifestation 3. That which makes evident; an indication, mark, trace 4. Example 5. Ground for belief...

    Is there really 'no evidence' ?
    Last edited by lee h oswald; March 9th, 2012 at 12:27 PM.

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    Senior Member SR1419's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by lee h oswald View Post
    Is there really 'no evidence' ?
    Indeed.

    Absence of action is not a quality or condition of being evident nor a manifestation of a deliberate policy decision to allow contrails to persist.

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    Senior Member lee h oswald's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SR1419 View Post
    Indeed.

    Absence of action is not a quality or condition of being evident nor a manifestation of a deliberate policy decision to allow contrails to persist.
    The absence of action is evident in itself. How much more evident does it have to be before it constitutes evidence? You say, unequivocally, it is not 'a manifestation of a deliberate policy decision to allow contrails to persist.' Now show me the money. Where's your 'evidence' for this assertion? Is it based on a lack of evidence to the contrary? Therefore using the 'absence of something is not evidence' thing, only in reverse. Skeptopathy, think about it. What are you a party to that lets you say this with such conviction?

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    Senior Member SR1419's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by lee h oswald View Post
    What are you a party to that lets you say this with such conviction?
    My intuition.



    Absence of action is not evident in itself of deliberate policy toward a the purposeful outcome of contrail persistence.

    The second point is well taken though...here, I'll amend the statement:

    Absence of action does not appear to me to be a manifestation of a deliberate policy decision to allow contrails to persist.

    I do not see how a lack of coordination and consensus can then be construed as deliberate policy.

    Conspiracism- think about it.
    Last edited by SR1419; March 9th, 2012 at 01:35 PM.

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    Senior Member lee h oswald's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SR1419 View Post
    So, the answer is NO...you have no evidence per se...just a feeling.


    http://www.neurope.eu/blog/carbon-em...friendly-skies
    So the answer is YES....there's loads of evidence...irrespective of 'feelings'

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    Senior Member lee h oswald's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SR1419 View Post

    Nothing practical has been done because global coordination of any sort is extremely difficult:

    http://www.neurope.eu/blog/carbon-em...friendly-skies

    Huh? I buy potatoes grown in Egypt; garlic from Spain and Israel: bananas from African sources; lamb from New Zealand. What on earth are you talking about? Global coordination of all sorts is the norm - where have you been?!

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