Trained pilots have crashed into the ground on calm days because they became disorientated, trained military crews of Aegis missile destroyers have shot down passenger aircraft because they made mistakes. Thomas Mantell chased a skyhook balloon...
This was the early days of rocketry. I've had a notion for years... Could these have been experiments? Was some government/military agency sending up suborbital flights to study the dynamics of reentry? Did they send up bits of nickel that...
Photo: Prasen Yadav
Ufologists often like to make a connection between UFOs and nuclear power, and often quote historical incidents. A recent article by Marik Von Rennenkampff said:
In late 1948, for example, dozens of pilots, defense...
https://wiki.destiny.gg/view/Ryan_McBeth
McBeth concentrates on state sponsored disinformation and how private citizens are brought into that process on social media. A reminder that these days conspiracy theories are often generated and shaped...
Initial impressions:
They keep climbing but the object also keeps climbing...
They see it through the top window.
They complain that it's playing around with them...
They have to give up the chase because they've run out of endurance while...
In my opinion this is an example of the Witness Variability Fallacy. See post 134
The Selection Effect is also important in this case. We're getting the wildest misperceptions but very few reports of the accurate perceptions.
These are...
We've gone back to square one when it comes to the Solid Citizen Fallacy, the Trained Observer Fallacy, the Anecdotal Report Fallacy, The Witness Variability Fallacy and The Selection Effect.
Solid Citizen Fallacy - These aren't just kooks...
There are many issues involved in these statistics but I'm not going into them in this post. The main issue: This is a misperception rate, not a misreporting rate.
There's nothing about being a cop that makes one better at perception than the...
A bit of an aside, but, the term "trained observer" is bandied about a lot. But amateur astronomers fit the this description a lot better than most of the people to whom the term is applied. They actually do something on a regular basis to...
https://www.oreilly.com/library/view/astronomy-hacks/0596100604/ch04s15.html#:~:text=Any combination of telescope and,stop diameter of the eyepiece.
The info I've seen is that it was a ten inch Dobsonian with a 60x eyepiece. Do we have the info...
Approximately 40 witnesses are listed on Tim Printy's website, here.
http://web.archive.org/web/20080321054330/http://members.aol.com/tprinty/azwit.html
Since that time an increasingly large number of people have claimed to see either or both...