Yes, and the promises of adverts often ring hollow.
I bought a pack of those and they didn't improve my rollerblading, yoga, tennis or make me more popular at cocktail parties.
Saw one of only 2 B-29s still flying go past yesterday, managed to grab my camera and shoot some video (a bit shaky, but very identifiable.) Went and looked at FlightRadar24 this morning, to see if it would say who owned it, but it only said...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pathological_science#:~:text=Pathological science, as defined by,expectancy effect and cognitive bias).
The present case, as described by john.phil, hits a lot of those beats.
N-rays are an infamous example of...
From the video presentation of what they have done, they seem to have fallen into the same trap as the EmDrive. They were registering minute forces in the range of [μN] (see figures below), initially using a torsional pendulum, whilst working...
In addition to Mike's fairly neutral answer, as a hardcore Bayesian I have to add that we do know that the majority of things that are identified by pilots as near annoyances are balloons nowadays, so that's the maximally likely prior.
What...
It's an assumption to test the question: "is this consistent with a balloon".
If it can be shown to be moving under its own power then that would invalidate the balloon hypothesis.
But what we can say is that there is nothing inconsistent...
Nor do I, nor could I. I still have a hunch that there is some way to show a "this can't be a coincidence" relationship, with numbers. But I will have to let it be just that, a hunch.
Thanks for the discussion, as well as the reference to...
We can't.
Parallax happens when you look at a distant point, and the observer moves. (I used the example of a "jumping" mountain in a previous post.) But if the data allowed an ummoving point, @Edward Current would have found it.
But what we...
First, I ought to say that I am not familiar with the whole video. I've watched the minutes you're referring to. If I'm missing other parts you'd like us to comment on, please point them out. I am familiar with the analysis of the flight path...
Indeed, and I think there's an important point here. We know eyewitness account are not very good evidence, as human perceptions and memories are prone to numerous errors and inaccuracies - even entire accidental fabulations. So we value hard...
They don't fit the description in my original question, but it's a great example just because, to the photographer, they are unexpected. They also refute the claim that things in the sky at night subtler than a large meteor can't be photographed...