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The observer is not stationary, the 3 lights at the bottom are fixed points if you base the stabilisation on this you see the descent Comparing 2 frames from the start and end of the video with them matched on the 3 lights at the bottom you can see the descent of both sets of flares.

for what it's worth this is stabilised video, it's 4k to account for the vertical should be watched full screen on large monitor, you can just see the lights dropping past the grid lines, like I say it's subtle and the large period of untrackable movement in the middle really hides the effect.

Hmm it's annoying there's such a period of instability in the middle, the effect of the drop is just visible within the 2 halves of the video but would be much more noticeable if the track could be maintained for the full length.

I did a stabilisation track in Davinci against the white square and overlaid a grid the drop for both sets of flares is very subtle, less so for the brighter lights but there when the square is stable, however the auto track loses it a bit when it goes out of focus halfway through, will probably...

We know biology to be a thing though, and we are looking for it in other places than Earth. We knew birds existed in the UK was it pseudoscience to look for birds in America? Is it the name you object to? What do you think we should call it?

Would you agree that trying to find out the answer to the question of life developing on Mars and if so seeing how if in anyway it is similar to that on Earth is exobiology and and a useful endeavour.

To me the white lights in the videos look like landing lights from something like a cargo plane. But there's no ADSB history I can access for it and also military may not have a transponder on.

Life in other places than Earth is not some extraordinary claim. You can have good science around developing the techniques we might need to look in the right ways in the right places. Sending a Rover to Mars to look for potential signs of life past or present is exobiology. Life exists here...

Science engagement people when talking about fun things like the possibility of alien life are generally going to be on the optimistic "no reason there cannot be life out there and plenty of reasons why it might be" side than the hard straight answer which is "we have no idea either way but as...

It's always amazing how these events get made public just after the ADSB Exchange data expires

They are the definition of selection bias, they review the footage and anything that looks odd enough makes the show the rest is discarded.

I read quite a lot of the UFO parts of fora I am a member of and the UFO related Reddits and there is a wide slew of beliefs, theories and levels of engagement Some people are clearly Larping (using the more recently emerged definition) https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=Larping...

Each frame is a motion blurred track of the object so this creates that rod illusion. Swallows are largely white under with a small ammount of white on the wing this creates a similar effect to the "plane with no wings" illusion, especially given how swallows wings invert and flex as they hunt...

Can you expand on what you mean here? I am not really sure of your direction? Are you saying it's not a balloon because they can't attach explosives to a balloon? Balloons can also be used as attempted radar foulers etc without a payload. However there are the reasons a balloon could be there...

Anything obviously a novelty balloon probably gets filtered out and doesn't make it to AARO or whatever, remember we are seeing the stuff that is left over once the obvious is eliminated.

There is also money to be made more easily if the cases are linked to negligence by the US Gov allowing a foreign agent to injure people in the line of duty likely much harder to get settlements from a mass psychogenic illness which has more nebulous causes.

I am not sure how giving a time and date removes someone's anonymity.

Have you watched the Greenstreet series? Source: https://youtu.be/3Tsg0X4onCo?t=921 This whole flap and the containing nudge/wink stuff from AARO is a results of the Bigelow funded "infiltration" of the US Gov with UFO enthusiasts. Kirkpatrick is the latest.

No but it's likely Iraq would be my guess.