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  1. Rory

    Debunked: The Lunar Cycle affects birth rates

    Thinking about the other lunar thread and the way even university professors with their fancy p-numbers can make a total hash of statistics and probability, I decided to make a quick little spreadsheet to demonstrate this: https://tinyurl.com/yonezawas-fallacy To refresh: a Professor Yonezawa...
  2. Rory

    Debunked: Study shows link between menstrual cycle and the moon

    With a sample size of one, I can safely say this isn't always the case: she has a regular 25-day, so knows she could never be in sync with the moon, but has kept a record for a number of years for a variety of reasons, such as: it's good to know; keeping track of one's health and body; being...
  3. Rory

    Debunked: Study shows link between menstrual cycle and the moon

    Clue would have access to potentially hundreds of thousands of semi-long term records (up to about 8 years in length). I'll drop their data analyst person an email.
  4. Rory

    Debunked: The Lunar Cycle affects birth rates

    Maybe one day before death I'll actually get to writing all this up properly and presenting it as a 'paper'. Attached is as far as I got with that - not looked at in over two years (other things took precendence) - and, gee, reading the posts above makes my head swim. It's wild how we can get...
  5. Rory

    Debunked: Study shows link between menstrual cycle and the moon

    I would guess that's because of the variation in length of the lunar cycle: ie, between 29.18 and 29.93 days. I'm not sure why there would be (any 'interval' is really an artifical one anyway). I think for them it has to do with both increased light and increased gravity: Though I'm not...
  6. Rory

    Debunked: Study shows link between menstrual cycle and the moon

    Okay, let's have a look at the paper I posted the other week, which claims to have shown that "Women temporarily synchronize their menstrual cycles with the luminance and gravimetric cycles of the Moon". Introduction and 'facts' 1. “In many marine species and some terrestrial species...
  7. Rory

    Isolation: How will you pass the time?

    I live in the south of Baja, have done the whole pandemic. Lucky for me either with only girlfriend and cat or in tiny village, so the whole thing's pretty much passed me by. Haven't been online much lately so I've mostly forgotten about it. But gotta spare a thought for those whose 2020/21 has...
  8. Rory

    Debunked: Movie producer Nathan Folks claims bombing false flag, Voice of Russia says blood too red

    All 4 of his linked websites on his IMDB profile are defunct and facebook/linkedin is cold since at least 2017.
  9. Rory

    Debunked: Study shows link between menstrual cycle and the moon

    The key study in questions of moonlight and menstruation is Strassmann's, which looked at women who lived much of their lives outside and used no artificial lighting. She found no evidence of synchronicity with either the moon or each other. There are plenty of studies that claim to show...
  10. Rory

    Debunked: Study shows link between menstrual cycle and the moon

    Tricky to know what to make of that study. Here's their table of results: Source: https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1751-1097.1978.tb07649.x I would say more data required. There's a lot of potential there for random noise. (Also, they say "normal cycle length" is 29 days, whereas...
  11. Rory

    Debunked: Study shows link between menstrual cycle and the moon

    Interesting words, you guys, on an interesting subject. Mainly for me I'm thinking about the most recent paper I posted, and looking specifically at that rather than other ideas, since that's the only source in all my investigations on the subject that's shown even a little bit of promise...
  12. Rory

    Debunked: Study shows link between menstrual cycle and the moon

    Moonlight has some effect on the human body, but Strassmann (1997) found no evidence that moonlight had any effect on the human menstrual cycle.
  13. Rory

    Debunked: Study shows link between menstrual cycle and the moon

    When you said "they gave birth at the same time, suggesting some cycle sync" it seemed like you were saying they gave birth on the same day (or very close to it). But that doesn't seem to be the case, according to this: https://www.nps.gov/articles/bison-bellows-2-11-16.htm Which says that 80%...
  14. Rory

    "Escaping the anti-vax conspiracy rabbit hole"

    Catherine grew up in a family that lived an alternative lifestyle. When social media became a big part of her life, she became a huge believer in anti-vaccine conspiracy theories. She told the BBC’s specialist disinformation reporter Marianna Spring what made her question her beliefs, and her...
  15. Rory

    Debunked: Study shows link between menstrual cycle and the moon

    I'm curious about the phrase "in synch, as expected", as 'menstrual synchrony' has also been shown to lack real supporting evidence, despite what scattered anecdotes might suggest. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Menstrual_synchrony
  16. Rory

    Debunked: Study shows link between menstrual cycle and the moon

    It seems that the idea of a human menstrual-lunar cycle connection isn't quite dead: a new study came out earlier this year looking at it from a slightly different angle. The paper is here: https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/5/eabe1358 And it puts forward the idea that some women...
  17. Rory

    TFTRH #50 - raised by conspiracy theorists

    Did I miss the bit where he talks about how his parents are now, how their relationship is, and whether anything's changed because he's no longer a conspiracy theorist?
  18. Rory

    My Chat With Luis Elizondo

    My takeaway: if you have a good, non-mysterious explanation for any UAP encounter, it's only because you don't have access to other data (and, no, you can't have access to it, or know what kind of data it is, nor know whether it exists or not).
  19. Rory

    Explained: Boris Johnson Photo With Confusing Reflection of Phone Cord

    Yep, true. I later realised this after I looked at the Twitter source. The wording in the OP made it sound like something slightly different was going on. I showed the picture to my girlfriend - with no clues - and she only thought there was something weird about the computer (and guessed at...
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