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no, it's because a black swan is merely a counterexample you don't need to provide examples if you use a counterexample to make a point the "black swan" oil rig picture is a counterexample to both a geometric and a standard refraction prediction; however, the oil rigs are so strongly distorted...

Yes. I quoted the post where you introduced sleep paralysis into the thread; providing a source that lists the symptoms explains to everyone else why you did it and lends authority to your suggestion; it also provides (via the link to the Wikipedia article) a simple way for everyone to check...

Hallucinations Several types of hallucinations have been linked to sleep paralysis: the belief that there is an intruder in the room, the feeling of a presence, and the sensation of floating. One not uncommon hallucination is the presence of an Incubus.[13] A neurological hypothesis is that in...

make the orange mark a diamond square, and you'll see that

Current (Oct 4) figures from the World Bank: WASHINGTON, October 4, 2022 – The ongoing war in Ukraine has dimmed prospects of a post-pandemic economic recovery for emerging and developing economies in the Europe and Central Asia region, says the World Bank’s Economic Update for the region...

This means the object was over 3000 ft (1 km) away from you. With 1.5m diameter, it would've been 1/3 the (apparent) size of the moon at that distance. Where would the illumination come from? Was the wispy cloud illuminated? I'm sorry I can't help you with the re-entry path.

indicators of collapse: • mass unemployment and hyperinflation, proliferation of black markets and bartering • food rationing may be an indicator as well "collapsing" is before the collapse, but I'd expect GDP dropping and inflation to be warning signs

You generally don't have to provide a white swan. The phrase "black swan" derives from a Latin expression; its oldest known occurrence is from the 2nd-century Roman poet Juvenal's characterization in his Satire VI of something being "rara avis in terris nigroque simillima cygno" ("a rare bird...

" your posts sucks" = axe grinding (in the second degree if you add screenshots) "could you explain more" = thirst for knowledge #83 was not "thanks for the explanation" but rather "thanks for helping me grind my axe". Which was not what I expected from you.

and here I thought you yearned for knowledge when all you really wanted was to grind an axe

kinda depends on the outcome if you can establish that UFO report numbers depend on phenomena that are unrelated to actual alien visits, that'd support the idea that there aren't any alien visits.

The maths is wrong if the data points are not statistically independent. If you'd have gone to the wikipedia page in your screenshot, the disambiguation page for independence would've led you to "Independence (probability theory)", which I admit might not have been that helpful either. For...

Standard refraction predictions are not "too far", they're exactly right. Views not showing refraction effects would break physics. Maybe, but that's not a swan, it's a straw man. And remember, there is NO photograph showing Flat Earth.

Yes. But the reports are hardly independent. (Your work into the geographical distributions of UFO and cryptid reports strongly suggests they're not.)

Ah, I'm sorry. You asked whether FE had ever found a white swan, and they're not known for looking for globe proofs. (To be fair, most don't look for FE proofs either.) Space-mounted cameras have provided pictures of the globe, which are uncontrovertible proof of Earth being a globe. That's why...

Social media footage documented an unknown number of unmanned surface vehicles striking at least one Grigorovich-class frigate in Sevastopol on October 29.[1] Footage also showed smoke near the port in Sevastopol and what appeared to be Russian air defense in Sevastopol engaging air targets.[2]...

Point 7 Point number 7 of the decree is classified. In the version of the decree posted on the website for the official publication of regulations, paragraph 7 is not available and is marked as "for official use." Peskov told press that the classified clause referred to the number of reservists...