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  1. Z.W. Wolf

    Night sky long exposure light trail

    I have an alternative to the problematic flying insects in low temperature scenario: Drifting cattail seeds. https://www.nature.org/content/dam/tnc/nature/en/documents/UT_WingsWater_WetlandProducers_Jan19.pdf cattails cattail seeds Camera position There's a pond nearby. Screenshot of...
  2. Z.W. Wolf

    Night sky long exposure light trail

    If flying insects: What is the light source?
  3. Z.W. Wolf

    Night sky long exposure light trail

    I haven't had time to work out anything. But my immediate impression, based on experience, is flashlight. But considering how dim it is, and how thin the line is... maybe a small light on a phone or some other small light source is a better fit. The overall path and the little squiggles in the...
  4. Z.W. Wolf

    Aliens: Good or Bad?

    That's best case scenario. I think the UFO Believer scenarios are Fairy stories, in the original meaning of the term. As in folk stories about Fairies. That's not meant to be humorous or degrading, but a serious and literal reading of the situation. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fairy...
  5. Z.W. Wolf

    Aliens: Good or Bad?

    Not going to mince words. I think that all speculation on this subject is Midnight Dorm Room Blather. We're too dumb and have too little data. Whatever the truth, it would either be hugely surprising... or we wouldn't even understand it if we were told.
  6. Z.W. Wolf

    Aliens: Good or Bad?

    "Are there Aliens out there"? "What are they like"? I think the only sensible answer is...
  7. Z.W. Wolf

    Unidentified Objects/Balloons Intercepted by US aircraft

    Then we're talking speculative politics. Which is not what Metabunk is about.
  8. Z.W. Wolf

    Unidentified Objects/Balloons Intercepted by US aircraft

    What evidence are presenting? I'm completely lost.
  9. Z.W. Wolf

    'Orb' UAP over the Ohoopee River in Georgia USA 7-3-2023

    I'm switching to the model suspended from drone scenario after seeing this. A real life test is pretty convincing. Nothing like empiricism, is there?
  10. Z.W. Wolf

    Claim: UAP filmed by pilot over Monterrey, Mexico July 2023

    Like. But in this case the videographer was looking at his phone screen, not at the real life view. He noticed the "UFO" at the time. That's another way this can happen. During the event. Not just after the event.
  11. Z.W. Wolf

    Claim: UAP filmed by pilot over Monterrey, Mexico July 2023

    In the case of a speck on the window, parallax effects come into play. The speck is close, the landscape is far. Parallax can do surprising things even for people who are familiar with it: Here you've got stuff really close, medium distance and far away.
  12. Z.W. Wolf

    Claim: UAP filmed by pilot over Monterrey, Mexico July 2023

    The stabilization artifact is something that isn't easy to understand. This video was my introduction to stabilization artifacts as documented here: https://www.metabunk.org/threads/destabilized-sensor-reflections-squiggly-lines-and-dancing-dots.12802/#post-285076 In this case it was sensor...
  13. Z.W. Wolf

    Flashbulb

    I haven't educated myself deeply about about the CE5 Experience thing, but I think it goes something like this: You go into a transom trance. You send psychic signals to your friendly neighborhood Aliens. They send back a psychic message. This is a close encounter of the 5th kind. CE5, get...
  14. Z.W. Wolf

    Was the al-Ahli Arab Hospital in Gaza hit by an Israeli airstrike or PIJ rocket?

    To be clear to everyone reading; Mendel's figure of 11 seconds refers to the hang time of a fragment of the rocket body in the second video I posted. The amateur rocket exploding. Not to the Qassam rocket in question. This is what happened to these particular amateur rockets. They failed...
  15. Z.W. Wolf

    Was the al-Ahli Arab Hospital in Gaza hit by an Israeli airstrike or PIJ rocket?

    That means a ground speed of 320 mph.
  16. Z.W. Wolf

    Was the al-Ahli Arab Hospital in Gaza hit by an Israeli airstrike or PIJ rocket?

    I think it was more like 36 seconds. Window is from approximately 18:59:19 to 18:59:55 According to the timeline in the Al Jazeera analysis: Qassam rockets already seen in boost phase: 18:59:20 I'm adding 1 second to the window because the rockets are already above the Camera 1 local horizon...
  17. Z.W. Wolf

    Was the al-Ahli Arab Hospital in Gaza hit by an Israeli airstrike or PIJ rocket?

    Note the fragment of the rocket body blown into the air at 0:11. It hits the dirt at 0:26. One difference is that the Qassam rocket would have been launched at an angle, while the rocket in this video was supposed to go straight up. How far would the fragment have traveled if this rocket had...
  18. Z.W. Wolf

    Was the al-Ahli Arab Hospital in Gaza hit by an Israeli airstrike or PIJ rocket?

    This rocket has the same sort of solid fuel - sugar and an oxidizer. Note the debris blown into the air. 150 mm (6") sugar rocket CATO
  19. Z.W. Wolf

    Was the al-Ahli Arab Hospital in Gaza hit by an Israeli airstrike or PIJ rocket?

    This two day old video on the Israel Defense Forces YT channel reiterates their scenario that a Qassam type artillery rocket hit the hospital. It shows the launch site here: I disagree that the rocket was still in boost phase. I think this was more likely a type of CATO...
  20. Z.W. Wolf

    Was the al-Ahli Arab Hospital in Gaza hit by an Israeli airstrike or PIJ rocket?

    I'm not going to re-subscribe to the NYT just to see this article. I've looked around for some 2nd hand description of what the article says: According to this, the NYT article says that the visible missile/rocket - I'm calling it Rocket A - was launched from Israel and was likely unrelated...
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