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The UK is not at war with Russia, there is no treaty obligation to defend Ukraine, action against Russia in the Black Sea area would not be necessary for the defence of the UK, and, so far as I recall, there is no UN resolution authorizing the use of force. On the face of it, direct involvement...

The widespread existence of belief in false or unproven doctrines is an important phenomenon. Obvious examples are belief in ghosts, witches (with actual powers), fairies, magic, divination, precognition, and telepathy. Perhaps most interesting are those doctrines which had a wide measure of...

At #601 above, I suggested that if the Russians were planning to use tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine, one would expect them to take some measures in advance to reduce damage to their own troops. Such measures might be detected by western and Ukrainian intelligence. It is now reported that...

Yes. The problem is the word 'cannot'. The 'U' in 'UAP' stands for 'unidentified', not 'unidentifiable'. Whether or not observed events have been identified as known phenomena is largely* a matter of fact. Whether or not they can be so identified is largely a matter of opinion. By adopting...

I'm a terrible photographer. When people talk derisively about 'point and click' photos, I wonder 'is there another kind?' But this brackets me with most of the world's population, so my attempts at photographing objects in the sky should be more representative than those of an expert. I took...

I thought he was alluding to Chris Lehto's 'debunk' of Mick's analysis. 'Toys on a tile floor' sounds more like Chris than anything I recall of Mick's. Specifically this video by Chris: Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YYLKK6ZlCHc&t=737s I haven't re-watched it all, but on skipping...

Presumably even the Russians would want to avoid nuking their own troops (or am I being too naive about that?) In a complex battlefield situation that might not be easy. To minimise 'friendly' fire losses, one might expect measures to be taken to withdraw Russian forces from the danger areas...

It's a long shot, but as Russia has used the bridge incident as a pretext for another massive bombardment of Ukrainian cities, we should at least consider the possibility that it was a Russian false flag operation. This may seem unlikely, not only because it has damaged an important military...

Later caught something on FLIR. We know not what, except that in the available clip it is not doing anything remarkable.

As a Brit, I am not invested in the concept of the US Government's absolute moral superiority. It seems to me that in general the USG pursues foreign policies in what it considers the interest of the United States, without much regard for the interests of its friends or allies (with a few...

I noticed a small news report on this story in today's online edition of the London Times (paywalled). I couldn't find it in the print edition, but this does tend to appear in updated versions through the night. The online report says:

I'm trying to keep an open mind between the 'hoax' and 'secret project' hypotheses, but there is one strong argument against the latter. It seems clear from David Clarke's researches that there was genuine confusion and uncertainty in the UK Ministry of Defence for at least several months after...

I think I suggested somewhere earlier that the object might be some kind of test rig for 'stealth' materials, either radar-deflecting or radar-absorbing. This would fit with the hints from anonymous military sources that it came from the US Navy base on the Mull of Kintyre, as the US Naval...

As far as I recall the scenario, the two 'witnesses' are supposed to have gone north from Pitlochry (possibly from the Atholl Palace Hotel, though this has been questioned) towards Calvine (about 15 miles) then further north into the countryside beyond Calvine. They then did some poaching, or...

In a previous post I mentioned that I tried viewing and photographing a piece of white cotton thread against a grey sky. At short distances it was quite conspicuous. The problem is that even a grey sky will usually be much brighter than the thread, so it shows up as a dark silhouette...

I agree, he was not in the same aircraft. In a recent interview (below) he says he was part of the same exercise, and specifically that he was 'airborne for that one' (i.e. the Gimbal case). I took this to mean that he was watching the same SA page in real time, but it's not entirely clear...

The redacted transcript of the WSO's evidence to Congress staffers doesn't seem to give a distance, though there is a redacted passage (following the word 'approximately') which could well contain a relevant figure. Ryan Graves has probably mentioned the 10NM figure somewhere in his various...

I agree with those two, but there may be a third. There are already ultra-nationalist 'hawks' in Russia who think Putin is being too weak, and want stronger action against Ukraine, including wider conscription of the Russian population into the armed forces. At the moment Putin doesn't seem...

In the UK for serious crimes - roughly what in the US would be classed as felonies as distinct from misdemeanors - there is no general time limit on prosecutions. There may be statutory time limits for specific offences, but one would need to know what the charge was in any given case...

It tells you that anyone who says it can't be faked is wrong.