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  1. Mendel

    Bayesian argument to believe in aliens?

    the first problem is that your example doesn't clear the "can't be explained" hurdle for the report (in a sense of "no imaginable explanation according to established science", not in the "we know precisely what it was" sense) the second problem is that your percentage isn't anchored anywhere...
  2. Mendel

    "Door" on Mars

    Let's not forget the premier example for natural formations that look man-made, Giant's Causeway: Source: https://commons.m.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Giant%27s_Causeway_(11).JPG , by Chmee2, CC-BY 3.0 "Looks like a doorway" is not sufficient evidence for it being a doorway.
  3. Mendel

    Mexican Air Force UFO Video? [Oil Rigs]

    The exact geometry would depend on the viewing angle, and on which flares were burning at the time, but the similarity in the groupings in striking. The "Cantarell Experiment" video does not demonstrate the parallax effects that cause the apparent motion in the original video, otherwise I'd...
  4. Mendel

    What's Inside ?.....5g protection devices, radionic wish machines, etc...

    The placebo effect works especially well for imagined ailments. In that sense, these devices are active. I'd say that this is technically true for EMF fields found in homes and public spaces, though "no longer" is misleading since these fields weren't harmful to begin with (CRTs excepted). By...
  5. Mendel

    Dinesh D'Souza /2000 Mules/: Pre-bunk potential?

    AP did a fact check (excerpts, via the Denver Post): CLAIM: At least 2,000 “mules” were paid to illegally collect ballots and deliver them to drop boxes in key swing states ahead of the 2020 presidential election. THE FACTS: True the Vote didn’t prove this. The finding is based on false...
  6. Mendel

    Dinesh D'Souza /2000 Mules/: Pre-bunk potential?

    Excerpts from the Washington Post: “2000 Mules” can be broken out into three basic components. There’s the geolocation-based material that’s the heart of D’Souza’s assertions about the election. The second half of the movie is a broader effort to undergird the geolocation claims, an attempt to...
  7. Mendel

    Dinesh D'Souza /2000 Mules/: Pre-bunk potential?

    Searching Google News for "election fraud" turns up 2 references to "2000 Mules" on the first page. Here are excerpts from The Atlanta Journal-Constitution (via archive.org because the site is inaccessible from the EU): The hour and a half-long film leaves voters uninformed about precautions...
  8. Mendel

    Dinesh D'Souza /2000 Mules/: Pre-bunk potential?

    It is based on the fact that Republicans took every scrap of evidence they had to court, and even had tip hotlines for this. People can still get convicted for election fraud, and are. News item dated April 30, 2022: PHOENIX (AP) — A judge in Phoenix on Friday sentenced a woman o two years of...
  9. Mendel

    Dinesh D'Souza /2000 Mules/: Pre-bunk potential?

    Let me quote the first 2 lines of post #1: The trailer is linked right there, it's only 3 minutes long, and it is easy to verify that the screenshots appear around the 1:48 mark. @FatPhil provided the evidence for what you're questioning here in his very first post. You look like you're...
  10. Mendel

    Dinesh D'Souza /2000 Mules/: Pre-bunk potential?

    I've been bringing up the UK because I was replying to @ConcernedBriton . It felt appropriate to note that Florida's law is stricter than the UK, and that the EU considers voting so much of a constitutional right that it applies a high bar to allow countries to disenfranchise criminals of it...
  11. Mendel

    Russia and Ukraine Current Events

    The Belarusian Ministry of Defense escalated its false claims of US and NATO preparations to attack Belarus while announcing the start of a second stage of ongoing military exercises on May 10. However, Belarus remains unlikely to join the war in Ukraine. Belarusian Defense Minister Viktor...
  12. Mendel

    Plasma Laser Hologram as a possible UFO sighting Explanation

    via that article: Source: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=1QXw3ylCYT0 True 3D Display in the Mid-Air Using Laser Plasma Technology Titled "Aerial Burton" See post #2 for another example of this technology.
  13. Mendel

    Dinesh D'Souza /2000 Mules/: Pre-bunk potential?

    Electing presidents with a minority of the vote is typical of elections in the US. Gerrymandering is typical of elections in the US. Every country with a proportional voting system (which is immune to both issues) looks at the US and thinks it's a mess, a mess that already made headlines back in...
  14. Mendel

    Dinesh D'Souza /2000 Mules/: Pre-bunk potential?

    I couldn't even find this claim using a web search, do you have any evidence for it? What I did find: Maybe you got the station wrong? and also: A popular image claims to show a news reporter staging a shot of empty grocery store shelves. But the photo is a hoax from Romania. There is no...
  15. Mendel

    1971 Lake Cote / Lago de Cote UFO Aerial Photo

    Just quote/repeat it if you still want to discuss it.
  16. Mendel

    Dinesh D'Souza /2000 Mules/: Pre-bunk potential?

    it's not political, it's common sense 1) D'Souza has a reputation (just google him) 2) if the evidence was any good, it would have made it into court None of these points are political, and they should cause anyone watching the trailer to be very skeptical.
  17. Mendel

    Russia and Ukraine Current Events

    There was a lot of speculation in past weeks on what Russia was planning to do on Victory Day (end of WW2), most of which did not come true. (Takeaway: specific claims about the future without strong evidence tend to be bunk, cf. date of invasion early in this thread.) Russian President...
  18. Mendel

    The Steven Greenstreet UFO ...

    That's a lot of distance for such a small object as a kite or a private drone. What height would it be at? (P.S. you don't need to tag people you're quoting as the quote generates a notification, but it doesn't hurt either)
  19. Mendel

    Claim: Ukrainian Gov't has armed criminals

    It’s tense work. “Saboteurs are dressed in ordinary clothes”, said Sasha “and it’s hard to tell who is a civilian and who is a saboteur…We speak Russian and they speak Russian. It would be easier if the Taliban had invaded.” Russian soldiers have also been known to wear Ukrainian army and police...
  20. Mendel

    1971 Lake Cote / Lago de Cote UFO Aerial Photo

    That feels like overstating the effect of a scan service removing some scratches. I have interpreted the tweets to mean that a professional scan studio in Costa Rica received the original, scanned it, presumably returned it, did some standard processing on the file (e.g. scratch removal...
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