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  1. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    Via https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefings : This graph shows that there was a 2-week period at the end of November (the green "foot" on the bottom graph) where travel restrictions made sense, and after that, the cat was out of the...
  2. Mendel

    Needs debunking: Forensically disproves NASA photos

    ... and that's where volcano eruptions come in, see https://www.metabunk.org/threads/how-to-prove-satellite-images-are-real-ground-truth.8781/ , because they're unpredictable years in advance. They are composites because the satellite does not have a 121 Megapixel camera. See...
  3. Mendel

    Claim: Vaccinated English adults under 60 are dying at twice the rate of unvaccinated people the same age

    The data in the OP goes through September, so this adresses the original claim neatly, even using the same data source, while avoiding the mathematical paradox that arises from not age-stratifying the data. That claim is out of date; it is now known that cellular immunity persists against...
  4. Mendel

    A Gimbal Glare Explainer

    I know what you mean, but technically.... Without the explanation, we were looking for an object that rotates as it flies, and that's hard to come by outside aerobatic performances. With the explanation, we're looking for an object that flies, of which we know many. That's not "almost nothing".
  5. Mendel

    A Gimbal Glare Explainer

    Yes. And the majority is now classified as "explainable". Which is the same Mick/Metabunk did, we think it's some unidentified conventional jet-engine driven fixed-wing flying object (e.g. a jet fighter) with rotating glare caused by the gimbal system. The gimbal explanation moves it from "what...
  6. Mendel

    Claim: Vaccinated English adults under 60 are dying at twice the rate of unvaccinated people the same age

    Data source: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/deathsbyvaccinationstatusengland
  7. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    The page also has graphs for England and the US (with no booster data), as well as links to sources for other countries.
  8. Mendel

    A Gimbal Glare Explainer

    look at https://www.metabunk.org/threads/gimbal-blender-simulation-with-clouds.12209/
  9. Mendel

    Claim: Pfizer's own data shows that their vaccine "does more harm than good"

    My conclusion is that your fractional covid hospitalisations and deaths are wrong. And how you can assess a ×80 difference as "about the same" escapes me.
  10. Mendel

    Claim: Pfizer's own data shows that their vaccine "does more harm than good"

    Show me your analysis and I'll show you where it's flawed. Very roughly: In the second half of 2020, at least 0.06% of the US population died of Covid. The study shows 99% of these could have been saved with a vaccination (and many more hospitalisations averted). The study also had 1 more death...
  11. Mendel

    Claim: Pfizer's own data shows that their vaccine "does more harm than good"

    We've already had the discussion over the meaning of "unsafe". FDA makes its decisions based on its analysis of the benefits and risks for the intended population who will receive the vaccine, as well as the disease(s) to be prevented. Benefits, risks, disease. What I said.
  12. Mendel

    UFO above Pyramid of the Sun (Dec 2021)

    His body is about 5-6 feet tall. They're not that elongated. And the shadow/light interplay shows how far out the fabric is.
  13. Mendel

    Claim: Pfizer's own data shows that their vaccine "does more harm than good"

    not irrelevant to public health the weighing is between three courses of action: 1) start vaccinating now 2) defer decision 3) reject vaccine Decision 1) had clear, foreseeable benefits in terms of fatalities and severe illness. Any other decision let people suffer and die needlessly.
  14. Mendel

    How the Hunga Tonga Volcano Eruption demonstrates the Shape of the Earth

    From another thread: The Hunga Tonga eruption is more evidence that satellite images are real; and that obviously disproves Flat Earth.
  15. Mendel

    How to Prove Satellite Images are Real - Ground Truth

    More on Hunga Tonga as evidence for the globe is at https://www.metabunk.org/threads/how-the-hunga-tonga-volcano-eruption-demonstrate-the-shape-of-the-earth.12232/
  16. Mendel

    Claim: Pfizer's own data shows that their vaccine "does more harm than good"

    yeah, but that analysis would be flawed In a situation where thousands are dying daily, waiting for more data is not an option for responsible public health authorities (they collect more data anyway) it may be reasonable for individuals by telling people looking for light that they're...
  17. Mendel

    UFO above Pyramid of the Sun (Dec 2021)

    it's not, look at the sunlight and shadows
  18. Mendel

    Claim: Pfizer's own data shows that their vaccine "does more harm than good"

    Here's the same table for longer intervals than 28 days. The adjusted ratios go a little towards 1, which means the bias gets better. And the raw, unadjusted ratios look worse now, presumably because of the better vaccine uptake among older people. The person-years go up rather slowly because...
  19. Mendel

    How the Hunga Tonga Volcano Eruption demonstrates the Shape of the Earth

    If Tonga is at the centre, this does work, but the AE map for that looks kinda strange, because the edge is in Africa:
  20. Mendel

    How the Hunga Tonga Volcano Eruption demonstrates the Shape of the Earth

    When you add up the short segment and the long segment, you get the length of the great circle, which is constant since all great circles are the same. Now Earth isn't perfectly spherical, and wave propagation in air depends on air density and isn't perfectly uniform, but it works out...
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