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  1. Mendel

    "It’s Easier To Fool People Than To Convince Them That They’ve Been Fooled" needs true source

    perhaps she read the QI page you quoted in the OP
  2. Mendel

    Claim: Bushfires have not been affected by climate change, and are affected by impeded hazard reduction

    Metabunk's link policy suggests that relevant parts of linked sources need to be quoted in the thread. The catastrophic bushfires in Australia, which killed three people and displaced thousands, is partly due to the monsoon season ending late in India, according to an expert. Trent Penhman, who...
  3. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    You seem to be implying that younger people do not profit from boosters, and I don't think that is covered by your sources, and I don't think it's true.
  4. Mendel

    Claim: Bushfires have not been affected by climate change, and are affected by impeded hazard reduction

    My main takeaway is that "spring rain in NSW" is a bad proxy for fire danger in Western Australia, and better indicators are available that, when used, lead to a different conclusion. I particularly like the argument that the dryness of plants depends on more than just rain; I can observe that...
  5. Mendel

    Even if you think the world's flat your brain knows different

    I'm reading it the opposite way. I know the Earth is approximately flat nearby; I know I'm not going to see an 8 inch drop a mile away with the naked eye (height of a blade of grass), and most things I look at in daily life are closer than that. So most daily situations I'd see are adequately...
  6. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    https://ourworldindata.org/covid-deaths-by-vaccination
  7. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    Exactly. That's why I analysed the study. I didn't comment on their ability, and I have no idea why you brought up Joe Biden just now - he doesn't write studies, much less on Covid. "Old people we know" feels like a topic for Chitchat.
  8. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    That's the same over here, I wrote "My state has rising hospitalisations but falling/plateauing ICU cases." Something is keeping people off ventilators and out of the morgue, and I expect it's boosters and treatment. These graphs are for the same period of time. Cases (lab-confirmed PCR, above)...
  9. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    Yes. I don't see him authoring any studies on topics outside of his field of experience.
  10. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    I'm always perplexed when looking at the German data. Germany went fairly hard on NPIs in December with the intent to delay Omicron and boost everyone; the case rate started rising around New Year's and has since grown 8-fold; but the death rate kept falling and has only recently plateau'ed. My...
  11. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    The Studies in Applied Economics series fills gaps in the history, statistics, and scholarship on a variety of subjects. The authors are mainly Fellows of the Institute and students at The Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore who conduct research under the general direction of Prof. Steve H...
  12. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    "Economists"? those were the best experts they could find on epidemiology? lockdowns are supposed to reduce transmission. via "flatten the curve" they are also supposed to keep hospitals from being overwhelmed. Death prevention isnt their main purpose. most people who actually die are old. so...
  13. Mendel

    Was Gimbal a drug plane?

    I had the impression that this was a) a military exercise zone b) off the East coast of Florida. b) places it off any direct kind of route between the US and a drug-producing country, and a) makes it even less likely for a drug aircraft to be there (at that flight level no less), and more likely...
  14. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    Vaccination resources for teenagers https://www.vaxteen.org/ Myth #5: Vaccines aren't worth the risk. Despite parent concerns, children have been successfully vaccinated for decades. In fact, there has never been a single credible study linking vaccines to long term health conditions. As...
  15. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    this would be a reasonable stance if reality wasn't in the way since that time, the virus mutated, and the old vaccination loses much of its effect against Omicron more quickly than it does against older strains some immunologists say they should've expected a 3-shot schedule as with some...
  16. Mendel

    Need Debunking: ONS data shows Covid Vaccinated Teens are 3 times more likely to die than Unvaccinated Teens.

    Euromomo doesn't provide mortality data for that age group, only for 0-14, but it does look like England is special. Europe-wide, weekly deaths, 2021 doesn't look unusual compared to past years UK, England is special If the recent spike in England was caused by vaccines, we ought to see it...
  17. Mendel

    Debunking Humor...

    The picture was clearly not grainy enough if it was only 12 seconds!
  18. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    If I lie about my vaccination status, they can't take the best care of me. And if they figure out I lied to them, they'll feel even more disrespected.
  19. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    That depends on the statistic, it's usually explained in the source document. One reason for "unknown" I recall seeing is simply that a patient with a record in the hospitalisation database could not be matched to a record in the national health database. There's no information on why there was...
  20. Mendel

    Are 99% of COVID-19 Deaths Among the Unvaccinated?

    Most statistics are based on the number of doses delivered (in some countries) and on public health records of vaccinations (in other countries, e.g. Denmark). Therefore, the statistics are not affected by fake vaccination cards. The statistics are affected by fake vaccinations, i.e. doctors...
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