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  1. Mendel

    Debunked: Dr. Shiva's Scatterplot Analysis of Michigan Precincts

    Thank you for your time as well! I don't think you need to apologize; this site is here to debate claims, and you've made your points well, so I don't see any cause for regret!
  2. Mendel

    Explained: Red Mirages, Blue Shifts, and Data Dumps in the 2020 Election

    In 17 states, statutes or 2020-specific rules allow for absentee/mail-in counting to begin before Election Day. In 16 states, statutes or 2020-specific rules allow for absentee/mail-in counting to begin on Election Day before polls close. In 17 states, statutes or 2020-specific rules say...
  3. Mendel

    Debunked: Einstein wrote "blind belief in authority is the greatest enemy of truth"

    Ibsen is a good precedent; maybe Einstein saw that play? "Der Volksfeind": Hovstadt. Allerdings. Er gehört mit zu denen, die im Sumpf stecken, – so ein braver Mann er auch sonst sein mag. Und so sind die meisten hier bei uns; sie schwanken und wanken nach beiden Seiten; vor lauter Rücksichten...
  4. Mendel

    Burst Pipe Conspiracy Theories, Fulton County's State Farm Arena, Georgia

    What exactly did the 6 and then 3 people do who stayed behind? Did they count, or were they occupied with other tasks? Had all precincts stopped counting, or were there still tallies coming in from them?
  5. Mendel

    Debunked: Dr. Shiva's Scatterplot Analysis of Michigan Precincts

    Well, we'll just have to leave it there, because a "net movement" can't go both ways. You're arguing your way out by saying "net movement" equates to "fewer votes than expected", no matter whether the expectation is reasonable or not. But then the analysis merely says something about your...
  6. Mendel

    Debunked: Dr. Shiva's Scatterplot Analysis of Michigan Precincts

    Yes. The problem is expecting a horizontal line here, when this analysis should usually give you a downslope. If you have x on the horizontal axis, and then graph b-x, you will always get a downslope if b is constant; and you will get a downslope trend if b is random. And that's exactly what...
  7. Mendel

    Debunked: Einstein wrote "blind belief in authority is the greatest enemy of truth"

    I believe that is the closest word to "Autoritätsdusel" that is actually in the dictionary. And the dictionary is an authority! ;-) The German language has this mix and match method of building words where you can usually replace components in a composite word and retain the same relationship...
  8. Mendel

    Debunked: Einstein wrote "blind belief in authority is the greatest enemy of truth"

    Gefühlsduselei, die umgangssprachlich abwertend durch übertriebenes Gefühl, übertriebene Sentimentalität bestimmtes Denken, Verhalten It says the word is "colloquial derogatory" and then defines it as "thought or behaviour that is determined by excessive emotion, excessive sentimentality". I...
  9. Mendel

    Explained: Red Mirages, Blue Shifts, and Data Dumps in the 2020 Election

    Trump has "one of the great memories of all time" , surely he recalls what the polls were like leading into the election?
  10. Mendel

    'Fast Movers' and 'Transmedium' Vehicles

    If you filled a helium balloon at the bottom of a swimming pool, it'd turn transmedium soon after you released it. Because a high-altitude balloon doesn't have much, if any, of a radar cross-section, metallic radar reflectors, which come in a variety of geometric shapes, are strung below its...
  11. Mendel

    Explained: Red Mirages, Blue Shifts, and Data Dumps in the 2020 Election

    Oh, the paper that published the research cited in that Wikipedia article is even more predictive: Explaining the Blue Shift in Election Canvassing Edward B. Foley, Ohio State University Charles Stewart III, Massachusetts Institute of Technology...
  12. Mendel

    How To: One-click copy selected text to [article] format

    I can't find a button for it on the toolbar; that's why I type the code manually. I like it because it lets me neatly attribute my quotes with a link to the source.
  13. Mendel

    Burst Pipe Conspiracy Theories, Fulton County's State Farm Arena, Georgia

    Read carefully: Fulton County Election officials report as of 7:00 p.m., 30,000 absentee ballots were still not processed. [..] Fulton County election officials will reassess the situation at 10 p.m. to determine how to proceed but said it will be a late night in Fulton County for results. This...
  14. Mendel

    Burst Pipe Conspiracy Theories, Fulton County's State Farm Arena, Georgia

    "Toilet overflow"? The thing about first 6, then 3 people staying to "work on the computers" will get thrown out because it doesn't even allege fraud.
  15. Mendel

    Debunked: Navid Keshavarz-Nia's Claims of "A Sudden Rise in Slope" as Election Fraud Evidence

    If you live in the US, go to your local election office, and ask them. How long it takes for a single ballot is immaterial: how long it takes for all of them depends on how much personnel you have to do it. But even for single ballots: verifying that absentee voters are on the voter rolls is...
  16. Mendel

    The "Firehosing" Propaganda Technique

    Excerpt from the transcript It's a modern version of the old fairytale of "The Emperor's New Clothes".
  17. Mendel

    The "Firehosing" Propaganda Technique

    The firehose of falsehood, or firehosing, is a propaganda technique in which a large number of messages are broadcast rapidly, repetitively, and continuously over multiple channels (such as news and social media) without regard for truth or consistency. Since 2014, when it was successfully used...
  18. Mendel

    2020 US Election - Current Events

    The second thing that indicates Mr. Giuliani may be a bit out of practice is this: 1. The Campaign had to plead plausible facts, not just conclusory allegations. Plaintiffs must do more than allege conclusions. Rather, “a complaint must contain sufficient factual matter, accepted as true, to...
  19. Mendel

    2020 US Election - Current Events

    I found a very simple legal argument in a decision by the US Court of Appeals of the 3rd Circuit in Philadephia: The Campaign tries to repackage these state-law claims as unconstitutional discrimination. Yet its allegations are vague and conclusory. It never alleges that anyone treated the...
  20. Mendel

    Allegations of Election Irregularities by Gregory Stenstrom of Marque Star

    Your annotation is fine, for the most part. I wish we could find the photographs of the vDrives in the baggies that Stenstrom took. Note that the "47" number is uncorroborated and probably from that September theft; Stenstrom talks about 24-30 "VUSB cards" that the warehouse supervisor had...
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