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My point is this: Every data point above the red line is the dog engaging in waiting behaviour before the owner started out on their journey. But it's so irregular that there is no way to tell how much precognition the dog is supposed to have. Your dog reacts to your car pulling into the...

A rigorous paper nowadays registers the study design before embarking on the study, and then carries it out. For example, you describe the number of random trials you're going to do, and how you're going to do them, before you do them, and then you report on how the trials went. If done...

The map in the article I cited includes urban areas. If they didn't fly there, the area would not be shaded. Flies exists in urban areas, and need to be counteracted everywhere lest you have a reservoir from which the pest can spread to farmland. Since all the program does is release other flies...

Welcome @beelzedug ! I welcome looking at evidence with a sceptic eye! Debunkings are not proofs. Do we know that there was a fly and not a UFO at Skinwalker Ranch? (see https://www.metabunk.org/threads/black-ufo-at-skinwalker-ranch-a-fly.11271/ ) Obviously the phenomenon is just a black blob...

Preventative Release Program (Medfly) Release of Adults by Air The release boxes containing the chilled flies are transported to the nearby airfield and loaded onto the release aircraft. Mounted in the cargo area of each aircraft is an insect release machine that both maintains the chilled state...

Data gathered by Opportunity Insights, a research institution based at Harvard University, confirm that the pandemic has affected workers and companies more severely in blue (Democratic) states than in red (Republican) ones. Between January 15th and April 9th, the number of weekly unemployment...

That's the logic behind social distancing: that almost every spreader has spread the virus while not (yet) knowing they're infected, so we must require everyone to exercise caution because we can only stop the spread if the people who don't know they're infected are cautious. The highest risk...

Death is a symptom. Your calculations neglect the age demographics. Basically, from the death count you can fairly well estimate how many people in the 65+ age group were probably infected, but for the younger age groups, we just don't know. And the serological studies mostly measure people...

The CDC is actually using ranges for these models, so it'd be appropriate to say * 20%-50% asymptomatic * 0.2%-1% symptomatic fatality rate The fact that they are actually using these values for models means they're not ruling any of these values out yet. The 40% value of "transmission before...

He is a proponent of alternative medicine, and has been criticized by physicians, government officials, and publications, including Popular Science and The New Yorker, for endorsing unproven products and non-scientific advice. Apples and oranges. I did. I provided expert testimony of a...

My understanding is that the "in part" means that not all medicare billing is done using fixed rates, but for many common diagnoses, it is, and that Covid-19 is a diagnosis for which such a fixed rate exists. This rate may only be a base rate, i.e. if the patient develops a kidney failure, they...

My county had its 52nd case identified on April 12th, and the 53rd case on May 19th, 5 weeks later. The health office is contact tracing and has discovered more cases, we're up to 62 today. Other cases elsewhere in Lower Saxony have been on the news, it's not just outbreaks in meat plants and...

The 12 random returns were in a fairly confined period of time. I didn't spot the raw data in the study. What I saw were the probabilities for the dog being expectant pre.return and during the return. But you get the same probabilities if, say, the dog starts waiting at ~2h after departure...

Deirdre, you are losing the context, and that's why you misunderstand what I'm trying to say. My original statement was, (The UK is doing about as badly as the US on terms of case numbers not trending down. I think it's because they're getting the same misinformation.) I'm saying here that...

Doctor Mike and the factcheck.org source confirms several things: -- hospitals are reimbursed for certain types of services by blanket, pre-determined fair rates that mainly depend on the diagnosis -- these fair rates also take into account regional variations -- these fair rates can get...

What is your medical qualification, Deirdre? You've been questioning Doctor Mike's qualification by quoting the part of his wikipedia entry that does not relate to his qualification, which I find in bad faith, and now you're contradicting him without any evidence. If someone comes to a hospital...

Your factcheck.org source confirms Doctor Mike: The figures cited by Jensen generally square with estimated Medicare payments for COVID-19 hospitalizations, based on average Medicare payments for patients with similar diagnoses. Medicare — the federal health insurance program for Americans 65...

The wikipedia article you're quoting mentions that Doctor Mike worked as a resident physician at Overlook Hospital, a 504-bed non-profit teaching hospital located in Summit, New Jersey, from 2014 to 2017. As he says in the video, part of his job duties there would include issuing death...

That is the CT I have data on, I assume it correlates with "the epidemic is a hoax", what Cynthia Brehm made the news with yesterday. I'm paraphrasing, obviously. Jan 22 "We have it totally under control. It's one person coming in from China, and we have it under control. It's going to be just...

A small submarine with wings: The Deepflight Super Falcon Mark II is a 17-foot long two-seater submarine, each seat with its own bubble-glass cockpit for an unparalleled immersive experience. It comes with a set of wings on the side and stabilizers in the rear which make it a very agile vessel...