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  1. Mendel

    Coronavirus Statistics: Cases, Mortality, vs. Flu

    We have two proposed causes of death: a) Covid-19 Covid-19 kills through ARDS, zytokine storm, thrombosis/stroke/embolism, and perhaps in other ways as well. We have indications that Covid-19 can leave long-term damage. NPIs reduce this by reducing infection rates. They need to be timely and...
  2. Mendel

    Explained: The Navy UFO Videos

    The aerial phenomena observed in the videos remain characterized as "unidentified." The release announcement does not refer to objects, but to aerial phenomena. Is that common parlance? Taken literally, it could mean they identified the object but not the weather.
  3. Mendel

    Coronavirus Statistics: Cases, Mortality, vs. Flu

    The Covid-19 death rate per 100,000 is ~25 in the US at large and ~100 in New York state. I'd say the majority of these deaths occurred mid-March to mid-May, so 2 months. Taking your US average of 750/100,000, that's 125. So we'd expect the number to approximately double. But since NYC is harder...
  4. Mendel

    2004 USS Nimitz Tic Tac UFO FLIR footage (FLIR1)

    Ok, that pretty much rules out a large passenger plane, which would be doing around 450 knots but be much larger. A Bombardier Glocal Express business jet would be about 30m long and do 500 knots. So if you find a slightly larger plane, it could be slightly above 40 miles out. If you think...
  5. Mendel

    Simulating the Nimitz UFO video as a blurry plane

    How do we know the range, and can we estimate the size from the video image? (Apologies if I've overlooked this.) If we don't have the range, then the flight crew could've estimated it based on the idea that they were seeing a fighter-sized object when it was in fact an An-225 much further away...
  6. Mendel

    The E-PAI report on the Origins of COVID-19

    I've attached the report, it's 43MB. (If that's too big for the forum, @Mick West , please delete it.) The authors of the report call themselves "E-PAI ODIN". I don't think their evidence supports the claims. Claim 1: Device Activity Around the WIV This is an autoritative-looking graph with...
  7. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    Peter M. Sandman on Outrage Management (excerpts): Like most crises, the COVID-19 pandemic requires three kinds of risk communication. Before the crisis, the task is “precaution advocacy” – warning a complacent public. The U.S. pretty much failed at that one. During the crisis, the task is...
  8. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    The United States blocked agreement Friday on a UN Security Council resolution that called for a global ceasefire aimed at collectively addressing the coronavirus pandemic ravaging the globe, after China pushed for the resolution to mention the World Health Organization. The US rejected any...
  9. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    Germany is opening up, with a 7-day incidence of 50 new cases per 100 000 inhabitants being the warning sign for each county (but most counties are now below 25, see the map below). The counties above 50 have outbreaks in care homes, or outbreaks in abbatoirs, because the workers are cheap...
  10. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    MADISON, Wis. (AP) - More than 70 people who tested positive for the coronavirus since an April 24 rally at the Wisconsin state Capitol indicated they had attended a large gathering, but the state Department of Health Services cant' say if they were at the rally because it is not tracking...
  11. Mendel

    Debunking Humor...

  12. Mendel

    Coronavirus Related Shortages in Shops

    This is from the best study (look at the red data, disregard the blue): Basically, the virus gets half as infectious every 3 hours if on cardboard. Now, the question is, how much is on there to begin with? In shipping, work areas are usually large and well ventilated, delivery trucks are well...
  13. Mendel

    Bugs and Suggestions for Metabunk.org

    Agent K's post https://www.metabunk.org/threads/coronavirus-statistics-cases-mortality-vs-flu.11154/post-238879 did not make it onto my "latest activity" list. I did get an alert that indicates he had quoted me before he edited that post. I've seen posts before that "latest activity" did not...
  14. Mendel

    Looking for debunkings of the “Plandemic” video

    This reddit debunk seems quite detailed and thorough. It ends: In conclusion, this woman has a serious axe to grind with her peers and even her former collaborating colleagues. Her published research has been completely discredited by a dozen independent studies. This is why we have peer review...
  15. Mendel

    Claim: U.S. Covid-19 Deaths are being Artificially Inflated

    And why do they think we have thousands of heart attack, cancer etc. deaths all of a sudden? What is causing that? You do know that rejecting the obvious evidence and instead going with assumptions contrary to existing evidence that have absolutely no factual support is the way down the rabbit...
  16. Mendel

    YouTube's Changes Reduce Watch Time of Borderline Content and Harmful Misinformation by 70%

    The thing is that incitement to violence doesn't become legal just because it's weird (and I don't think combating that has anything to do with nannies, state or otherwise). I guess if nobody had burned any 5G towers, Icke would still be there.
  17. Mendel

    Claim: U.S. Covid-19 Deaths are being Artificially Inflated

    Of course. Let me show you one that's not misleading. It looks basically the same, though, and my original point remains that the excess deaths are very noticeable. I'm also judging you because your reply "not what the methods says" was very misleading, and you've neither acknowledged it...
  18. Mendel

    Claim: U.S. Covid-19 Deaths are being Artificially Inflated

    Quite so, because you are quoting the method for "Outpatient and Emergency Department Illness Surveillance" while I'm using the Mortality Surveillance data. The "Total Deaths" column is the all-causes mortality, regardless of how those deaths were labeled.You don't need a "method" to see these...
  19. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    I've been reviewing the FDA's Emergency Use Authorizations again, and some new items stood out. Protective Barrier Enclosures Clinicians with inadequate access to standard personal protective equipment (PPE) have been compelled to improvise protective barrier enclosures for use during...
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