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  1. Mendel

    Coronavirus Statistics: Cases, Mortality, vs. Flu

    COVID-19 Antibody Seroprevalence in Santa Clara County, California https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v1 The study reports only the IgG specificity of the test kit, omitting the false error rate for IgM. It also sets the sensitivity at the lower of both values. This is...
  2. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    I'd say that's a correct observation, but incomplete logic. The British Isles are islands as well, the Faroer islands were hit badly, the UK is badly hit (Ireland not yet?). But still, Australia probably has a much lower flow of people in and out because it is expensive to get to, and it's not...
  3. Mendel

    Coronavirus Statistics: Cases, Mortality, vs. Flu

    Let's look at excess mortality. That number is the gold standard for epidemics, and the proper rebuttal to people who say "it's just like the flu" and "these people would have died anyway". We can easily see a lot of excess mortality by looking at hard-hit regions like Lombardy or Wuhan, but it...
  4. Mendel

    Coronavirus Statistics: Cases, Mortality, vs. Flu

    New York isn't Santa Clara, but with 230 000 cases and a 10% prevalence (your 1 in ten infected) we'd be close to that 9-fold underestimate of infections. I have no idea what NY's testing strategy and coverage is right now, but if they only test severe cases, they are missing out on about a...
  5. Mendel

    Explained: "Quantum Dots" - Storing medical information below the skin’s surface

    And they would presumably be administered in the context of a widespread coronavirus vaccination, which makes this forum appropriate.
  6. Mendel

    Explained: "Quantum Dots" - Storing medical information below the skin’s surface

    @Eleora "Developing world" (used in my quote above) and "third world" are synonyms, the former being preferred. Claim: The devil will potentially use quantum-dot technology to put his mark on mankind, as foretold in the Book of Revelations The Antichrist System Is Closer Than You May Think The...
  7. Mendel

    Coronavirus Statistics: Cases, Mortality, vs. Flu

    @chrisl @Trailspotter The problems with Stanford's Santa Clara Study (this; https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v1 ) are even worse than I thought. In post #173, my analysis stated that the sample was self-selected and hence likely to be very skewed, and that the results...
  8. Mendel

    Claim: Apollo 15-17 Live TV Feed - Antenna signal would be interrupted from all the violent shaking when Astronauts touch the buggy

    The data that would be very useful is a) an estimate how much the camera is zoomed in or out, and b) a measurement how much in terms of (unedited) frame height (measured in percent or in pixels) the shake actually is. This would allow us to estimate the antenna displacement.
  9. Mendel

    Explained: "Quantum Dots" - Storing medical information below the skin’s surface

    The MIT News article confirms that this has been successfully researched, and that the research was funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. From the article: Several years ago, the MIT team set out to devise a method for recording vaccination information in a way that doesn’t require a...
  10. Mendel

    Claim: Apollo 15-17 Live TV Feed - Antenna signal would be interrupted from all the violent shaking when Astronauts touch the buggy

    No problem, that's what clarification questions are for! B-) I kinda wonder what transmission chain they used for that and what exactly caused that degradation, but I'm too lazy to find out right now.
  11. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    That depends on who you ask. The state of Berlin has 135 cases/100000 currently, German average is 165, and the state of Hamburg has 224. Bavaria is worst hit (closest to Italy) with 282, but still below Belgium. @Rory (or anyone else), if you'd like to see a specific graph, I can probably...
  12. Mendel

    Claim: Apollo 15-17 Live TV Feed - Antenna signal would be interrupted from all the violent shaking when Astronauts touch the buggy

    How does bumping the antenna have an effect on the vertical alignment of the camera picture? I don't understand how you expect that would work.
  13. Mendel

    Debunked: Radar Waves Affect Clouds

    Claim Source: https://youtu.be/3yCFFLrr14Q [1:40] If radio waves and radar haven't got any effect, pretty coincidental these two different areas in Western Australia pushing the clouds out or stopping them from coming in, whichever way it goes. The radar images in the video come from the...
  14. Mendel

    Coronavirus Statistics: Cases, Mortality, vs. Flu

    "The more water you pour in the bucket, the more water will be in the bucket" stops being true when the bucket runs over. For testing, the relationship is definitely not linear. The case rate is driven by two entities: A, the number of people selected for testing, and B, the number of tests. If...
  15. Mendel

    Claim: Apollo 15-17 Live TV Feed - Antenna signal would be interrupted from all the violent shaking when Astronauts touch the buggy

    Optics: 6x zoom, F/2.2 to F/22 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apollo_TV_camera#RCA_J-series_ground-commanded_television_assembly_%28GCTA%29 If the camera is zoomed in, the shake will look worse than it is. The color camera used the same SEC video imaging tube as the monochrome lunar camera...
  16. Mendel

    Coronavirus Statistics: Cases, Mortality, vs. Flu

    If you use the "per 100k" data, lining it up at the 50th case is misleading; that should be lined up at equal per population values, and that would shift the US to the left and the Netherlands to the right, for example. How did you determine that case counts depend on the amount of testing? Or...
  17. Mendel

    Coronavirus Statistics: Cases, Mortality, vs. Flu

    The problem (as indicated by my quote) is that the French officials are using data from different sources. The total number of confirmed cases is probably something they get from the laboratories doing the tests. The umber of cases in ESMS is probably something the ESMS reports. Because they...
  18. Mendel

    Coronavirus Statistics: Cases, Mortality, vs. Flu

    It has Prof. Ioannidis name on it (the guy who thought 7 deaths on the Diamond princess was too low when it's 12 derths now), and it's rubbish, and they know it. (You can downlod a statistical appendix to the paper, but no shared data.) This study had several limitations. First, our sampling...
  19. Mendel

    Wuhan Funeral Urns as an Indicator of Death Rate?

    The Chinese city of Wuhan, where the coronavirus originated last year, has raised its official Covid-19 death toll by 50%, adding 1,290 fatalities. Wuhan officials attributed the new figure to updated reporting and deaths outside hospitals. China has insisted there was no cover-up. [..] The...
  20. Mendel

    Claim: Apollo 15-17 Live TV Feed - Antenna signal would be interrupted from all the violent shaking when Astronauts touch the buggy

    How much was the rover actually shaking? Have they tried to determine that?
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