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At the press conference with the German health minister this morning, it was revealed that we actually have had enough test capacity to process more tests than the physicians requested, which means our backlog in the system should be mostly gone, and it supports my theory that test volume is...

Are you saying that this was predictable in December or early January? Are you comparing the diseases, or the way the actual outbreaks went? My point is that SARS and Covid-19 are not the same disease; and to spread the rumor that there is a SARS outbreak when there isn't one is bad; and that...

SARS 2003 had a mortality rate of 9.5%. That's an order of magnitude more than Covid-19 has. So how bad it is, especially in the pre-epidemic case, is a matter of debate. The one thing I really want to see evidence on is the claim that they knew how much human-human transmission there was...

@Agent K The Cao article constructs "a systemic problem" from a single case. If there was a systemic problem, shouldn't there be more known cases? Prof Ioannidis has made a career from exposing the invalidity of much of what gets published for science. "routinely overprescribing medicine and...

ESMS: Depending on the categories of vulnerable populations for which their action is intended (minors at risk, disabled people, elderly people, adults suffering from chronic illness, people in a situation of exclusion) and the origins of the funds used to redistribute the services they provide...

Restrospectively. On the first KNOWN patient. According to the Wikipedia timeline, the first known patient had symptoms Dec 1st and the second patient was hospitalized on Dec 2nd, and if that's true and they don't have an epidemiological link, then theirs is probably the third generation or...

As word of a mysterious virus mounted, Li Wenliang shared suspicions in a private chat with his fellow medical school graduates. The doctor said that seven people seemed to have contracted SARS — the respiratory illness that spread from China to more than two dozen countries and left hundreds...

If it is patient 12, it means nothing. To identify patient zero in retrospect, you would have to hope they still [shed the] virus (which I think is improbable after 4 months); especially if it's a younger person, they wouldn't have had samples taken. If it's patient 12, the lab would have had to...

First of all, the original study linking SARS-CoV-2 to BatCoV-RaTG13: Published: 03 February 2020 A pneumonia outbreak associated with a new coronavirus of probable bat origin Peng Zhou, Xing-Lou Yang, Xian-Guang Wang, Ben Hu, Lei Zhang, Wei Zhang, Hao-Rui Si, Yan Zhu, Bei Li, Chao-Lin Huang...

I have. Your anecdote has no bearing on that.

What kind of side-looking sensor are there? Wouldn't they be mounted on both sides?

New York is doing 2.5 tests per case, California is doing 8.5 tests per case, and from what you quoted, LA is currently doing even better than that. Please lose the notion that virus testing works like survey or an opinion poll. These tests are intended to test the proportion of the population...

Sure, but post #9, I was using the word in the general sense. I was also equating your "basic only respiratory support (e.g. oxygen)" with "noninvasive ventilation", if that's what you meant? I mean, it would be easy if we could just call these devices respirators, except that word is nw used...

On April 13th, the German science academy Leopoldina has released a third statement with recommendations for a political strategy after the shutdown, signed by academics from multiple disciplines (medicine, law, economics, education, engineering, ...). They have recommendations regarding...

I had a look at the worldwide data earlier, computing the ratio of new cases in the past 7 days vs. the seven days before. A fair number of countries in the dataset currently have ratios <1, including Iran, Spain, France, and Italy, and the US are at 1.1 and should cross below 1 tomorrow...

Are they really equating a shortage of meat with a shortage of food? Vegetarians exist, and producing less meat is actually better for the environment.

I have learned that the terms are "invasive ventilation" (tube down your throat) and "noninvasive ventilation" (oxygen mask, cannula, helmet). putting coronavirus patients on ventilators could be of little benefit to many and even harmful to some. What’s driving this reassessment is a baffling...

The incidence rate for influenza is quite high, making flu screening feasible. The RKI is doing that regularly, via AG Influenza, Grippeweb, and the ICOSARI sentinel. AG Influenza has also been screening for SARS-CoV-2 for a few weeks, but the incidence is still quote low. AFAIK the true...

If they put you on a ventilator, your oxygen levels in your blood are below 94% or so. They do this because if organs don't get enough oxygen for a prolongued period of time, they fail.

IIRC all of the positive patients were moved off the ship and hospitalized? Home isolation isn't really an option when you are abroad. And anyway, you have to examine the cruise ship statistics by age group. AFAIK none of the 1045 crew on the Diamond Princess died, though not all were infected...