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  1. Mendel

    Debunking Humor...

    (It's a hoax. Birds are rechargeable, that's why they're sitting on powerlines so much.)
  2. Mendel

    [False] Claim that Scale Model of 2017 Eclipse Disproves the Heliocentric Model

    The data table shows a 16:46UT sunrise, so the data isn't for there. The coordinates in the upper left corner are 39°54'35.05"N 171°02'06.56"W, which is less than an hour off the international date line in the ocean, would that fit?
  3. Mendel

    Ramazzini Study on RF effects in Rats

    Yes. And to determine how significant your result is, you need to be able to model the probability distribution that underlies it. Mick made a simulation that assumes all male rats have basically the same chance to get cancer. What if that is not true? Is our average chance still correct then...
  4. Mendel

    [False] Claim that Scale Model of 2017 Eclipse Disproves the Heliocentric Model

    The moonset thing is wrong, but it doesn't have any effect on their conclusion and thus no effect on why the experiment failed. What's the use of modeling the sizes of Earth and moon exactly if you fail to consider the sun and then fail to consider the size of the shadows? They made a model...
  5. Mendel

    Ramazzini Study on RF effects in Rats

    Every study returns good data with a sample size of 30. The idea is that if we observe a mean, we want to compute some kind of confidence that we found the correct mean, and if the sample size is at least 30, the means that we randomly get by running experiments follow a distribution that is...
  6. Mendel

    [False] Claim that Scale Model of 2017 Eclipse Disproves the Heliocentric Model

    And this is the video: Source: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=3FBlR_5dCt0 It's not hard to replicate. What I would really like to see is a model of a FE solar eclipse that works as well as this one, ideally with two different observer positions.
  7. Mendel

    [False] Claim that Scale Model of 2017 Eclipse Disproves the Heliocentric Model

    It'd have been nice if they had pulled it off. If you use their setup with a mirror ball, mark the observation spot, get the size of the umbra and penumbra correct, you can probably do it. You need to have a mobile camera that takes a picture of the "sun" as mirrored in the observation spot, and...
  8. Mendel

    Ramazzini Study on RF effects in Rats

    Sample depends entirely on the size of the effect you're trying to prove. You can get good data from sample sizes as low as 30, if +/- 10% is sufficient accuracy for you. I expect with 15 dead rats, N=200 would have been quite sufficient to prove an "we're all going to die" scenario. But the...
  9. Mendel

    [False] Claim that Scale Model of 2017 Eclipse Disproves the Heliocentric Model

    It looks like they wanted to track a single observation point, the one they have the data for, and since for that point, observation can only begin once the sun rises at 16:46 local time. Since the eclipse ends at 17:47, they were unable to disprove the globe with their misunderstood model with...
  10. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    I did not say or imply "it's all because", hoaxes are listed in that quote as a contributory cause because they may have led people to behave less cautiously than they otherwise would have, and thus raised the number of infections. Obviously, "it's just like a flu" achieves the same end without...
  11. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    You're getting wrong that this is not the "most simple form", but rather a kind of sandwich ELISA, as explained further down the wikipedia page. Let's look at the diagram for this test again: For the IgG test on the left, the microwell Surface is coated with artificial COVID-19 protein S. The...
  12. Mendel

    [False] Claim that Scale Model of 2017 Eclipse Disproves the Heliocentric Model

    I'm seeing the support for the "Earth" tilted at 1:50 and thereafter. The 5 hour duration is correct: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_eclipse_of_August_21,_2017 but obviously it starts when the moon's shadow starts to touch Earth; the experiment begins with the moon already on the Earth...
  13. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    Source: https://mobile.twitter.com/CBSEveningNews/status/1247675561192890368 The coronavirus entered Milwaukee from a white, affluent suburb. Then it took root in the city’s black community and erupted. As public health officials watched cases rise in March, too many in the community shrugged...
  14. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    In yesterday's press conference, the director of the RKI revealed in response to a question that Germany is doing a quick survey using 2500 samples from blood donors. The test procedure they're most likely using is ELISA: The enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) (/ɪˈlaɪzə/, /ˌiːˈlaɪzə/)...
  15. Mendel

    Ramazzini Study on RF effects in Rats

    That's approximately it. (Did you run it for the female rats by comparison?) The thing is, the statistical test that they used is agnostic of the long-term probability. The researchers probably input that table into a statistical package and had it compute the significance. (I'm not good enough...
  16. Mendel

    COVID-19 Coronavirus current events

    Source: https://youtu.be/SHfSSlcKuq0 [5:20][A friend who is a psychiatrist] told me that his patients with paranoid tendencies have been extremely troubled by the conspiracy theories flying around the internet and have markedly deteriorated.
  17. Mendel

    Ramazzini Study on RF effects in Rats

    Now, the question is, how likely is it to see a 95% significant result if you run 6 tests? (Or if you run 20 tests and publish only 6?) That's where reproducibility comes in. https://xkcd.com/882/
  18. Mendel

    Ramazzini Study on RF effects in Rats

    If you have 0 Schwannoma in 412 rats, then you'd be 95% confident that the probability is lower than 0.89% (1.28% for 99% confidence). If you have a probability of 1.4% to see a Schwannoma, then the probability that you will see none in 412 samples is 0.3%. This means that the chance that the...
  19. Mendel

    Coronavirus Statistics: Cases, Mortality, vs. Flu

    This is the current CDC guideline: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/disposition-hospitalized-patients.html Discontinuation of transmission-based precautions for patients with COVID-19: The decision to discontinue Transmission-Based Precautions should be made using a test-based...
  20. Mendel

    Debunked: "All we need is the right major crisis and the nations will accept the NWO"

    Yes, sorry, 1994. I'll believe he didn't say that in 1991 when I see it. ;-) And I don't care what was on the news; the Trilateral Commission would have been mindful of the long-term impact that the impending collapse of the Soviet Union would have, this was a predictable global transformation...
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