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They seem to have worked through quite a bit of backlog over the past week (or maybe some doctors remembered to send their registrations in), it extends over more than 3 weeks:

If you're looking for 1991, then the context is the fall of the iron curtain: "This present window of opportunity which during a truly peaceful and interdependent world order might be built will not be open for too long." In that case, the big change is free markets now having taken over Russia...

From your source: The FDA granted its first emergency authorization for a rapid antibody blood test for COVID-19, developed by Cellex, allowing people to gauge a person’s immune response to the novel coronavirus. This EUA was granted April 1st, so this testing is not included in test numbers...

I understood that. I'm just pointing out why investigating such a low risk is most likely useless -- hypothetically or otherwise --, and why your death computation was flawed. ;-) P.S.: Feel free to edit long quotes down, or put them in a spoiler!

Do you have a source for that? I'm certain that the lab tests are rt-PCR everywhere, so it is absolutely impossible to test for presence of antibodies, and I'd have thought the infectiousness "times out" as the decrease in viral load in the throat and nose has been documented, but I don't really...

This is the level where it gets dangerous with a crisis at hand.

I looked. Of the deaths registered in week 12, 103 mentioned novel coronavirus (COVID-19), which is 1.0% of all deaths. This is lower than the figures reported by the Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC) as it takes time for deaths to be reported as it takes time for deaths to be...

54000 test for 9000 cases means you can test 6 negatives for each positive. If you manage to use that wisely, it can work out. From your source: widespread testing helped Taiwan, South Korea and Germany blunt the epidemic’s rise. I'm from Germany, I know how we have been testing because the...

a) The incubation time is up to two weeks, and then people still need to develop pneumonia. b) Social distancing measures aren't total quarantine, like in Wuhan. c) People still meet for work, on public transports, families... d) Germany has had social distancing measures for three weeks, we're...

I disagree. a) The chance is lower than that, or epidemiological studies would see it, e.g. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27156022 The observed stability of brain cancer incidence in Australia between 1982 and 2012 in all age groups except in those over 70 years compared to increasing...

The "cell poison" idea neglects to identify what poisons the cell; it's other specimens of the same viruses that got transmitted from other humans. As you already outlined for the Spanish flu, human transmission caused it to spread, and we can find these epidemiological links. The same goes for...

If the flying objects were spheres, the shadow on their skins would look like the moon: a small lit crescent on the right. The surface turned to us can't be as brightly lit as it is. And the sun incident angle to the shadows on the ground looks all wrong, too.

There are two types of danger: * one is like a tiger, it doesn't matter how close you are, as long as you are outside the cage, you're fine, but getting into the cage makes the situation substantially worse. That's frequency: if the radiation's frequency is not ionizing, you are outside the...

@Rory Source: https://m.imgur.com/gallery/f2DaDlU

Explain to her that this works like music. A Bass may sing at 110 Hz and a Soprano at 880 Hz, but that makes little difference; what hurts your ears is when the technician turns the power to the speakers up too high. The frequency only has a minor importance in this. Mick had that EM spectrum...

If they're doing research, they are not limited to FDA-approved tests. I would expect different test procedures, performed in a suitable laboratory, to be more sensitive, and for Stanford to use them. The package insert for the test I talked about said that fingerprick samples are not...

The EU is not a government, that is not a good analogy. Germany is a federal republic, like the US, and public health and health care is primarily the responsibility of the individual states, like in the US. New York has 100000 active cases, Connecticut has 5000. Assuming that NY had 3x the...

The FDA approved an antibody test on April 1st. I'm quoting from the IFU: https://www.fda.gov/media/136625/download I have a hard time imagining what the use of this test is going to be. It has a false negative rate of 6.2% and a false positive rate of 4%. The false positive rate rate means...

I looked at Thurday's White House press briefing, and I'm still not completely sure what is going on, but this is relevant: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/remarks-president-trump-vice-president-pence-members-coronavirus-task-force-press-briefing-17/ [Mr. Kushner:] What we’ve...

While it is still not clear which communities are receiving more or less federal support — or how distribution decisions are made — the Post article suggests, anecdotally, that federal allocation of medical resources do not seem to target density of need, but rather the political makeup of...