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Ashley Biden: Repeatedly, I hear others grossly misinterpret my once-private writings and lob false accusations that defame my character and those of the people I love. via https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/ashley-biden-leaked-diary-accusation/ nothing to debunk here imo, the claim rests on...

if you had government contacts, you might even be able to affect the schedule

My issue here is that we are not discussing specific claims. This thread should at the very least start with an actual quote that assigns a meaning to an early poll, and then use evidence to show that it is bunk. I've not seen any claim quoted, even though you made it the title of this thread...

I don't think your assessment about 538 is correct. What they do have is lots of experience and data on how early poll results correlate with eventual election outcomes (including the 2016 presidential election prediction failure). You haven't given us any data to support your psychological...

Mind you, flight plans can and do change. Delayed departure, bad weather, parts of the airspace getting closed because a head of state is travelling, part of the aircraft falling off, and countless other reasons can all affect whether the prediction of the flight plan comes true.

if you used metabunk's curve calculator, you'd even get a refraction adjustment.

Happens on BGT, too! And it takes a practised eye to spot. Look here: Source: https://youtu.be/4rB0zQiGLMQ Source: https://youtu.be/UHMHZFloOxg

somehow that post did not get moved when the others did

For the non-Americans: An automatic double is the term used to refer to a fairly hit ball leaving the field in circumstances that do not merit a home run, such as when the ball's first bounce was within the field. The automatic double (or rule-book double) is commonly called a ground rule...

so for this to be (unintentional) rolling shutter, two of the green lasers would've had to be synchronously off or obscured for less than 0.01 seconds, and the (phone?) camera would need a rolling shutter sweeping parallel to the short side (does this even exist?).

if this was a magic trick, there'd be several ways to do this, especially at night and with a fixed camera.

This is where precision matters. Many media amplified news of a heart attack last October. AP FACT CHECK How a baseless claim about Putin’s health spread from an unreliable Telegram account to TV news October 26, 2023 An explosive claim that Russian President Vladimir Putin had suffered a heart...

the other color is green in a stage setting, laser beams require dust or mist to be visible outside at night, there might be evening dew from the cooling air looking closely at the left laser, there seems to be some green scatter in the gap, it's just much fainter. so my hypothesis is that...

"The beam stops ... and then starts again". The question here is, what makes the beam visible in the first place?

wouldn't it have been easier to move the observer, aka adjust the radius of the sphere to the geoid at the current location?

I am stressing this because we do not know what the actual intelligence estimates of Putin's health are. We don't know what the briefings Biden, Sunak, Scholz or Zelensky are getting actually say. All we get is probably propaganda. "Putin acts irrational because of his health" loosely fits #3...

I note that only one of these is currently an intelligence officer, and Budanov is obviously biased. Edit: Probably better to say that Budanov has an obvious agenda.

I would describe the "Reichsbürger" as the German version of "sovereign citizens", their methods are similar in practice. The idea is that the pre-WW2 German Reich never ended, that the institutions of the post-war Federal Republic of Germany are therefore illegitimate, and that the laws don't...

Thank you! Can you use this to switch back? The "[ ]" button turns the brackets on and off. Yes. What is the size of the screenshot in pixels? 1536 x 2048 pixels?

Not that it matters now, but a laywoman's way to find your display resolution is to take a screenshot and then look at the size of the image. :cool: Can you confirm it works on both of your tablets now?