AARO UAP Report 2023

Mick West

Administrator
Staff member
https://www.aaro.mil/Portals/136/PDFs/FY23_Consolidated_Annual_Report_on_UAP-Oct_2023.pdf


I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This report is provided by the Department of Defense (DoD) and the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) in response to a requirement established in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for Fiscal Year (FY) 2022, Section 1683 (h), as amended by Section 6802(k) of the FY 2023 NDAA (as codified at 50 U.S.C. § 3373).

The report covers unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) reports from 31 August 2022 to 30 April 2023, and all UAP reports from any previous time periods that were not included in an earlier report. The All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) received a total of 291 UAP reports during this period, consisting of 274 that occurred during this period and another 17 that occurred during previous reporting periods from 2019-2022, but had not been conveyed in previous submissions.

Reporting from this period continues to depict a strong but shifting collection bias. Most reports still reflect a bias towards restricted military airspace, a result of reporting from military personnel and sensors present in such areas. This bias has been lessened by reporting from commercial pilots showing a more diverse geographic distribution of UAP sightings across the United States. However, these reports mostly cover observations over U.S. airspace and littoral waters, and therefore, as these reports continue to come in, a U.S.-centric collection bias wil grow significantly relative to the rest of the world.

During the reporting period, AARO received no reports indicating UAP sightings have been associated with any adverse health effects. However, many reports from military witnesses do present potential safety of flight concerns, and there are some cases where reported UAP have potentially exhibited one or more concerning performance characteristics such as high-speed travel or unusual maneuverability. AARO has de-conflicted these cases with potential U.S. programs and continues to work closely with its DoD and Intelligence Community (IC) mission partners to identify and attribute any objects found in these cases. Additionally, AARO continues to investigate and research all cases in its holdings.

While the mere presence of UAP in the airspace represents a potential hazard to flight safety, none of these reports suggest the UAP maneuvered to an unsafe proximity to civil or military aircraft, positioned themselves in flight paths, or otherwise posed a direct threat to the flight safety of the observing aircraft. Although none of these UAP reports have ben positively attributed to foreign activities, these cases continue ot be investigated.

AARO continues to make progress receiving, standardizing, analyzing, and resolving reports of UAP; working with military and technical partners to improve sensor placement and
calibration to better collect against UAP; to elevate the quality of reporting; and to provide risk reduction for improved domain awareness.

While this progress is facilitating collection and analysis of the UAP problem set, the continued volume and unidentified nature of most UAP is a direct consequence of gaps in domain awareness. These gaps are the direct result of insufficient data secured by radar, electro- optical (EO)/infrared (IR) sensors; the presence of sensor artifacts, such as IR flare; and optical effects, such as parallax, that can cause observational misperceptions. Based on the ability to resolve cases to date, with an increase in the quality of data secured, the unidentified and purported anomalous nature of most UAP will likely resolve to ordinary phenomena and significantly reduce the amount of UAP case submissions.
Content from External Source
 
Last edited:
"...there are some cases where reported UAP have potentially exhibited one or more concerning performance characteristics such as high-speed travel or unusual maneuverability. AARO has de-conflicted these cases with potential U.S. programs"


What does de-conflicted mean? That some cases have been identified as secret U.S programs and removed, or that secret U.S programs have been noted and left in as unexplained so as to not reveal any important details?
 
In the last para of the transcript 'RI' is a typo for 'IR' in the original. So what is 'IR flare'? There are apparently such things as infrared decoy flares, but in the context of 'sensor artifacts' I think the term must refer to what Mick West calls 'glare'. So far as I recall this is the first time an official DoD document has referred to IR flare or glare as a possible confounding factor in UAP cases. One wonders if they have any specific case in mind!

I note that the last para on page 8 of the report refers to the need for 'peer reviewing' of results before reaching any conclusions about the small minority of unsolved cases with 'characteristics of interest'. It is not clear whether the 'peer review' would be confined to DoD agencies or would also include external academic or non-academic experts. Preferably the latter!
 
In the last para of the transcript 'RI' is a typo for 'IR' in the original. So what is 'IR flare'? There are apparently such things as infrared decoy flares, but in the context of 'sensor artifacts' I think the term must refer to what Mick West calls 'glare'. So far as I recall this is the first time an official DoD document has referred to IR flare or glare as a possible confounding factor in UAP cases. One wonders if they have any specific case in mind!

The 29 Palms "Craft" was shown to be IR Flares - they are not as bright as illumination flares and they glow with an eerie purple colour, which makes them look otherworldly. They emit most of their energy in the infra-red spectrum and so can be used to illuminate areas for pilots or soldiers using NVGs or Infrared cameras.

1697725117398.png
 
The 29 Palms "Craft" was shown to be IR Flares - they are not as bright as illumination flares and they glow with an eerie purple colour, which makes them look otherworldly. They emit most of their energy in the infra-red spectrum and so can be used to illuminate areas for pilots or soldiers using NVGs or Infrared cameras.

1697725117398.png
Yeah but it's specifically in the context of sensor artifacts, (Presumably IR cameras if RI is a typo for IR, why do AARO always seem to have some small mistakes in the reports.)

presence of sensor artifacts, such as RI flare
Glare, flare and bloom etc are all often used as synonyms.
 
"...there are some cases where reported UAP have potentially exhibited one or more concerning performance characteristics such as high-speed travel or unusual maneuverability. AARO has de-conflicted these cases with potential U.S. programs"


What does de-conflicted mean? That some cases have been identified as secret U.S programs and removed, or that secret U.S programs have been noted and left in as unexplained so as to not reveal any important details?
Deconflicted is a fancy way of saying potential issues with other elements were covered and mitigated. Not use to seeing it in this specific context so can't give a good visualized example, but for where I see it, an example would be, let's say you want to run different messaging programs on different radio channels. You'd want to "deconflict" between these to ensure that the distinct messaging efforts do not result in effects that counter one another.
In this context it appears what they are saying is that they cross-checked their information alongside R&D programs to ensure they were not making false IDs based off our own developing tech.
 
While the mere presence of UAP in the airspace represents a potential hazard to flight safety, none of these reports suggest the UAP maneuvered to an unsafe proximity to civil or military aircraft, positioned themselves in flight paths, or otherwise posed a direct threat to the flight safety of the observing aircraft.
Content from External Source
So much for Americans for safe Aerospace — even if these are aliens/NIH, they're clearly no danger to aircraft or spacecraft. ASA is hyping up a threat that does not exist.
 
Last edited:
So much for Americans for safe Aerospace — even if these are aliens/NIH, they're clearly no danger to aircraft or spacecraft. ASA is hyping up a threat that does not exist.
A Phantom Menace, but what is the motive?
 
A Phantom Menace, but what is the motive?
ASA is pushing for disclosure. "ASA believes that we need more transparency from our government on this important issue." See https://www.metabunk.org/threads/uaps-bigelow-and-the-invisible-college.11850/post-291787 . If they can use a nonexistent threat scenario to scare the public and politicians to support their cause, apparently they will. Populist politics.

You've seen Graves represent a Starlink sighting as a threat, see https://www.metabunk.org/threads/uaps-seen-by-pilots-shared-by-ryan-graves.13120/ . Same thing. (LEO satellites are no hazard to aviation, and a predictable hazard to spaceflight.)
 
So much for Americans for safe Aerospace — even if these are aliens/NIH, they're clearly no danger to aircraft or spacecraft. ASA is hyping up a threat that does not exist.

The Chinese spy balloon was a bus sized threat to US national security hovering over the continental USA undetected for weeks.

After that they went on a shooting frenzy against 15$ amateur weather balloons with million dollar war systems.

That is what they are talking about.

Plus the collision/friendly fire risk etc.

The military has a huge problem on their hands and is trying to pretend like nothing is wrong.

Unlikely this is about aliens. More likely it is just trying to limit the exposure of huge weaknesses in US air defense.

Adversaries are watching. Drones etc. are the present of warfare and the US is not ready (see Ukraine war and the prime role of drones).
 
The Chinese spy balloon was a bus sized threat to US national security hovering over the continental USA undetected for weeks.
It was never over the continental USA undetected, it was downed after days, and it was no threat to aviation because it was at higher altitude than commercial traffic.
Unlikely this is about aliens. More likely it is just trying to limit the exposure of huge weaknesses in US air defense.
The balloons were never about aliens. Which makes your post wildly off topic. (The balloon threads are somewhere else on Metabunk.)
 
Back
Top